Derby Picks

Here are my 2009 Kentucky Derby picks:

Ra 11  Horse                  ML    FAIR
 13    I WANT REVENGE        3.0    3.90
 16    PIONEEROF THE NILE    4.0    4.30
  7    PAPA CLEM            20.0    9.20
  2    MUSKET MAN           20.0   10.50
  5    HOLD ME BACK         15.0   12.40
 11    CHOCOLATE CANDY      20.0   14.30
  3    MR. HOT STUFF        30.0   14.50
  1    WEST SIDE BERNIE     30.0   16.70
 10    REGAL RANSOM         30.0   20.30
 19    DESERT PARTY         15.0   20.30
  6    FRIESAN FIRE          5.0   20.50
 12    GENERAL QUARTERS     20.0   22.70
 15    DUNKIRK               4.0   24.30
 20    FLYING PRIVATE       50.0   32.80
 14    ATOMIC RAIN          50.0   38.40
 17    SUMMER BIRD          50.0   38.40
  9    JOIN IN THE DANCE    50.0   46.50
  8    MINE THAT BIRD       50.0   47.00
  4    ADVICE               30.0   49.00
 18    NOWHERE TO HIDE      50.0   58.50

Here's a video of the top three in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita. Pioneer of the Nile looked like a monster that day and he hasn't done anything wrong since.

I'm not saying this is going to be a two horse race, but the top two look pretty strong against these. If money gets spread around, a simple exacta box might pay well.

If you're looking for longshots, don't expect Papa Clem to reach his morning line. He might be less than 10-1. Musket Man and Hold Me Back could get a piece at a price.

Good Luck and Safe Racing!